Paul Romer
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Re: the risks we impose on essential workers:

“At least 41 transit workers have died, and more than 6,000 more have fallen sick or self-quarantined.”

Seems probable that some of this was caused by asymptomatic transit workers who infected colleagues.

“Nearly a quarter of the city’s E.M.S. workers are on sick leave, according to Fire Department officials. At least three are in critical condition.”

Captiain Crozier had to get himself fired to get his crew tested:

“As of Wednesday, 286 members of the crew had tested positive for the virus. Crozier is among them.”

Qn: So what’s the new CDC advice for an essential worker who is a household contact or has had close contact within 6 feet of an individual with confirmed or suspected COVID-19?

Ans: If no symptoms, wear a mask and go back to work.

I am not making this up.

Can someone explain to me again how contact tracing is so important if our rule is that when someone is a contact but has no symptoms, we are just going to send them out with no testing to expose their colleagues?

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We can implement ubiquitous testing. We can stick to it as long as it takes to get to a cure or a vaccine.

Other things (e.g. digital contact tracing) might help at some point or in some places. But there are many unresolved qns. Betting on them will increase uncertainty.

Ubiquitous testing is not like Kennedy’s moonshot.

It is like Eisenhower’s Interstate Highway System, proposed at a time when we already knew how to build roads.

Now, as then, we just need to go big.

Alas, “reasonable” people don’t seem to understand what big means.

“We Need 1 Million Tests a Week”

Off by 2 orders of magnitude.

Hint: Anybody who specifies tests per week is not thinking big.

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As if our treatment of frontline workers was shabby enough …

Doctors, firefighters and others who risk exposure to Covid-19 are being taken to court by ex-spouses who want to keep them away from their children.

If we offer to test our our essential frontline worers every day, this could put an instant stop on this as a strategy for getting leverage in child custody battles.

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