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Paul Romer
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15 threads since March 31, 2020
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April 26, 2020 / 3 tweets

Me on Fox News: Why $100 billion on virus testing would be money well spent.

Isolating the few who are infectious is the only way to solve both the health and economics crises that cost us $500 billion, yes $500 billion, in lost output each month.

https://t.co/WxXT71oDcU

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April 25, 2020 / 11 tweets

Ignore the noise! We are making progress.

  • Many voices demand testing.

  • Congress has responded with the first $25 billion.

  • Next, pust to spend as much on testing as we do on soda: $45-50 billion per year.

Rest of this thread: the existing voices. Add yours!

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April 13, 2020 / 10 tweets

[ Note added later: I wrote this thread as a response to a thread by Pat Sharkey that you can find here: https://twitter.com/patrick_sharkey/status/1249724251696848898 ]

Update thread triggered by comments from @patrick_sharkey

  1. The simulations were my way of exploring possibilities.

  2. I do not draw any conclusions from them other than this:

A policy of “test and isolate,” can reduce R even if the test has a high false negative rate

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April 11, 2020 / 4 tweets

Bottlenecks

The more I look into this, the more cases I see where the short-run scarcities and bottlenecks are the result of an FDA approval process for tests that is very specific about inputs — use these specific RNA extraction kits sold by these firms; these specific swabs…

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April 10, 2020 / 15 tweets

The twitter thread version of my plan:

  1. Stop testing people with symptoms. Presume positive and isolate.
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April 10, 2020 / 2 tweets

Lots of people who know nothing about molecular genomics make all kinds of confident preditions that it will be impossible to scale up molecular testing for SARS-COV2.

Just for the heck of it, see what a team that knows something has to say.

https://t.co/tt77KM14PI https://t.co/UPbHkWZslG
tweet media

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April 9, 2020 / 6 tweets

Re: the risks we impose on essential workers:

“At least 41 transit workers have died, and more than 6,000 more have fallen sick or self-quarantined.”

https://t.co/1nU06Zmi2z

Seems probable that some of this was caused by asymptomatic transit workers who infected colleagues.

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April 8, 2020 / 3 tweets

We can implement ubiquitous testing. We can stick to it as long as it takes to get to a cure or a vaccine.

Other things (e.g. digital contact tracing) might help at some point or in some places. But there are many unresolved qns. Betting on them will increase uncertainty. https://t.co/QIcMLeFeTF

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April 8, 2020 / 2 tweets

As if our treatment of frontline workers was shabby enough …

Doctors, firefighters and others who risk exposure to Covid-19 are being taken to court by ex-spouses who want to keep them away from their children.

https://t.co/q8kmcA0B6J

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April 7, 2020 / 2 tweets

Why no on trusts anything Federal Government officials say:

“Adm. Brett P. Giroir, the assistant secretary of health who is overseeing the government’s testing response, … ‘I think testing is really in a good position right now,’ he said.”

https://t.co/hRp1bEbIl8

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